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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.18vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+4.86vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+0.65vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+2.64vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.53+6.93vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.13+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52+4.49vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.21+1.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.48-0.72vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-0.48vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-2.18vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.59vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.73-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.43-3.49vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.18-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.18University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.86Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.64Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.93Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.49University of North Carolina0.210.0%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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10.52The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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9.82Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.41Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.47Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.3University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.8Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 34.7% | 25.4% | 19.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.6% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| Daniel Larson | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Carter Morin | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 25.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.