Race 9A

women-new-england-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brooke Schmelz 8.4% 8.5% 9.1% 7.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 9.4% 7.6% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Carmen Cowles 23.4% 20.6% 14.3% 12.2% 9.7% 6.8% 5.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 11.1% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 8.3% 6.9% 5.5% 5.0% 3.5% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Emily Bornarth 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 7.2% 8.0% 9.2% 7.8% 7.8% 6.0% 6.8% 3.9% 1.8%
Caroline Sibilly 9.3% 11.3% 10.2% 9.3% 9.5% 8.9% 9.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Lucy Meagher 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Taylor Eastman 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 6.5% 8.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.6% 4.8% 1.1%
Eva Ermlich 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 7.8% 7.4% 9.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 2.5%
Kyra Phelan 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.1% 5.8% 2.4%
Cordelia Burn 7.1% 6.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.0% 7.1% 6.3% 4.2% 3.8% 0.8%
Tiare Sierra 4.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.0% 6.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 10.3% 7.1% 4.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 9.0% 10.8% 11.4% 9.3% 4.4%
Samantha Jensen 2.9% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 3.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 8.6% 9.8% 12.4% 13.6% 10.7%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 3.6% 5.7% 7.0% 9.6% 19.2% 35.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 7.8% 9.9% 20.3% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.