Race 10A

saisa-spring-open-championships-tillman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Noah Zittrer 37.8% 25.2% 17.2% 10.4% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Atlee Kohl 24.2% 20.8% 19.2% 13.6% 9.7% 5.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew King 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 10.2% 9.7% 11.3% 10.9% 8.7% 6.0% 4.7% 3.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Adam Larson 10.9% 14.5% 13.7% 16.5% 13.1% 10.4% 8.7% 5.5% 3.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 2.9% 4.1% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 10.0% 10.9% 8.3% 8.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Katie Nelson 3.3% 4.9% 6.7% 8.6% 10.6% 10.8% 9.2% 9.0% 10.4% 6.7% 6.9% 4.4% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Hilton Kamps 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 5.0% 7.1% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 7.7% 7.5% 3.7% 2.4%
Nilah Miller 2.9% 4.8% 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 9.0% 9.7% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 6.7% 7.4% 3.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Jordan Byrd 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 9.5% 11.7% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 4.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Ian Hoogenboom 1.3% 1.2% 3.4% 3.2% 2.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 7.4% 8.2% 10.9% 13.0% 12.4% 9.4% 7.0%
Andrew Lam 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 8.3% 7.7% 10.5% 11.7% 15.8% 15.7%
Kenneth Buck 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 8.0% 6.6% 9.2% 10.1% 9.3% 9.7% 6.1% 7.0% 3.9%
Polk Baggett 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 10.2% 11.7% 13.5% 13.4%
Julian Larsen 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 9.8% 11.4% 11.5% 12.4% 15.8%
Andrew Ettlemyer 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 4.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.7% 13.2% 16.4% 22.5%
May Proctor 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 3.7% 7.4% 7.2% 8.5% 9.5% 12.9% 15.2% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.