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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+0.95vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.29vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+3.54vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.14vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.52+4.19vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18+2.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.13-2.56vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20-0.66vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.73+0.04vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.53-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.60-2.50vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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2.95University of Miami2.660.3%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.54Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.14Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.03Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.38Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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9.34The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.55Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.04University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.51Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.5University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.75Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 37.6% | 25.9% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 25.1% | 23.4% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.5% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew King | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 26.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| May Proctor | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.