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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.39vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+7.23vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97+2.05vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.53+5.35vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+2.24vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-5.99vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University2.01-5.61vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.73+0.06vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.60-1.34vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.79-6.53vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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6.97Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.5University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.05Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.35Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.24The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.58Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.39North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.4Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.66University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.47Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.71Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 37.0% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 22.0% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 27.0% |
| May Proctor | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 22.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.