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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+3.95vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27-0.59vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00+3.83vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.60+0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.18+2.35vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17+1.38vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.26-0.92vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+3.82vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.01-1.90vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.34-4.41vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80+0.94vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.64-3.15vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.56vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.67-4.90vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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3.41College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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3.63Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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9.83University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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7.84Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.38Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.08Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.82Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.1Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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8.59The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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14.94Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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11.85University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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12.1Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.79Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.0% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.1% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.0% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Brady Parks | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| KA Hamner | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 26.5% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.