← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.46+4.52vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+1.75vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.35+0.39vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.27-0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina0.00+4.74vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.27-0.10vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College-0.17+3.38vs Predicted
-
8University of Central Florida-0.18+2.37vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University0.60-1.16vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.34-1.13vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+3.79vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.26-2.76vs Predicted
-
13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80+1.96vs Predicted
-
14Duke University-0.67-2.19vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-0.08vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.57vs Predicted
-
17University of South Carolina-0.64-4.98vs Predicted
-
18Rollins College0.01-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.52North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
3.75Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
3.39College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
-
3.44University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
9.74University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
-
5.9University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
-
10.38Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
-
7.84Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
-
8.87The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
14.79Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
9.24Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.96Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.81Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
14.92Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
-
14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.63Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.0% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.4% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Brady Parks | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 22.3% | 22.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 26.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 24.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| KA Hamner | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.