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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.78vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+1.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35-1.66vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.26+2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18+3.37vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.60-0.25vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.67+3.02vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.34-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.00-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+2.59vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80+1.96vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-3.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.64-3.15vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.18vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-2.04vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.08-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.51North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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8.96Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.75Florida State University0.600.1%1st Place
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12.02Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.89The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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9.87University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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14.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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14.96Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.85University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.82Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.96Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.85Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 16.7% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.3% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.6% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brady Parks | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 17.6% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 25.8% |
| Julia Scott | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.