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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+6.97vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.08+5.90vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86-0.81vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-2.40vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.26+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.18+2.27vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17+1.32vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.34-1.18vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+3.82vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.64+0.13vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.21vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.60-6.41vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.67-3.09vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-1.06vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80-1.86vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.46-12.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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9.97University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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9.9Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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3.6Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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8.82Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.82The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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14.82Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.13University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.59Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.91Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.94Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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15.14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.0% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 15.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 20.4% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 21.7% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 29.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.