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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.31vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.27+2.90vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26+4.86vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.60+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.00+2.72vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.67+3.83vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18+1.34vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.66+4.88vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.08-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.64+0.14vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-2.82vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.34-5.59vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-0.11vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.63vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80-1.81vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.46-12.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.9University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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8.86Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.74Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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9.72University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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11.83Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.88Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.1Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.14University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.41The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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14.89Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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15.19Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.7% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.8% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Brady Parks | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 22.7% |
| Julia Scott | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 23.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 28.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.