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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+6.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.64vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+4.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+1.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+1.93vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-5.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52+1.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.20vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-6.85vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.11-1.85vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.09-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.036.0%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College1.514.2%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University1.977.9%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.0410.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College1.606.3%1st Place
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8.93Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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3.69Yale University2.4224.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
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12.8University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
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13.15McGill University-0.111.2%1st Place
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6.03Boston College2.099.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 24.1% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 24.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 26.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 33.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.