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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.31vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.27+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+0.22vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34+3.58vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.08+4.04vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18+3.31vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.60-0.30vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.26-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-0.04vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-0.62vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.71+1.75vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.51vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80+0.11vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-0.64-5.00vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.46-12.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.85University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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8.58The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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10.04Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.7Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.89Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.96University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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10.38Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.19Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.75Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.51Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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15.11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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12.0University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.12North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.5% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 16.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Brady Parks | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 24.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 27.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.