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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.80vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.52vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+0.85vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.08+4.08vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-1.65vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.71+6.76vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.60-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.64+2.06vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.00-1.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.34vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.26-4.18vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.67-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.18-4.64vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80-0.86vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.14vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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8.62The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.85University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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14.76Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.77Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.9University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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10.66Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.82Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.79Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.86Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.4% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.4% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.9% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Brady Parks | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Noah Jost | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 28.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 23.4% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.