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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.76vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.48vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.08+6.00vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+4.76vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.27-1.17vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.60-0.25vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.34-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.64+2.06vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-0.54vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.26-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-2.75vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.58vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.67-2.99vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-1.01vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80-1.82vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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10.0Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.76University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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5.39North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.75Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.68The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.22Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.58Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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12.01Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.99Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
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15.18Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 18.5% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.6% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.5% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Noah Jost | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 25.7% |
| Emma Launsby | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 29.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.