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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.46vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.08+5.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+4.99vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27-0.07vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.60+0.74vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46-2.73vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.26-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.64+1.60vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.00-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-1.79vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.34-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.05vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.67-3.26vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.61vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.92Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.74Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.27North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.96Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.6University of South Carolina-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.82University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.63The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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14.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.74Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.39Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.47Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 19.4% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.1% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.9% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Gouiran | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 25.4% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 29.0% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.