Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Aidan Dennis 22.4% 20.6% 18.8% 13.1% 11.1% 6.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 21.1% 16.9% 18.5% 14.2% 9.9% 8.7% 6.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andreas Keswater 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 12.4% 10.5% 13.3% 12.8% 11.0% 6.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Dufour 22.9% 21.4% 16.4% 15.4% 10.2% 7.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 8.7% 10.0% 11.9% 11.7% 10.5% 8.7% 9.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Aramendia 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 4.9% 6.7% 8.2% 9.9% 10.2% 12.1% 14.4% 11.8% 7.9% 3.4%
Isabella du Plessis 9.8% 9.9% 10.5% 12.4% 13.3% 13.0% 10.9% 8.4% 5.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Scott 1.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 9.3% 10.3% 12.4% 11.4% 11.3% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Sam Woodley 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 4.2% 7.2% 8.7% 12.8% 18.7% 18.8% 16.0%
Rowan Barnes 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 3.5% 6.5% 6.5% 9.4% 11.3% 11.8% 12.3% 10.9% 7.2% 5.1% 3.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Robert Gates 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.5% 8.9% 13.0% 21.4% 37.6%
Brady Parks 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 7.5% 7.9% 10.9% 11.8% 9.6% 10.4% 10.9% 7.7% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 6.9% 11.3% 10.6% 13.3% 11.5% 8.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6%
Alvin Tang 0.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 5.5% 8.4% 12.1% 17.7% 22.0% 20.3%
Timothy Dolan 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 5.3% 9.0% 12.2% 15.9% 22.8% 20.8%
Noah Jost 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 7.2% 5.6% 6.7% 9.9% 10.8% 11.8% 12.2% 10.9% 8.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.