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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+4.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+1.13vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08+4.25vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60+1.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35-3.76vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.34-0.09vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.26-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-1.00vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.66+2.09vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.67-1.14vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.08-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-2.08vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.13North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.25Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.33Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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7.91The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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8.19Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.0University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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13.09Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.86Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.91University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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13.33Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.1% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Brady Parks | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.5% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Jost | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 20.3% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Gates | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 35.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.