Race 12B

saisa-spring-open-championships-tillman

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Aidan Dennis 22.6% 18.9% 18.0% 15.1% 10.7% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 20.3% 18.6% 16.7% 13.9% 10.2% 9.6% 5.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Dufour 23.2% 21.1% 16.8% 14.8% 11.1% 6.6% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Scott 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 8.2% 8.9% 11.0% 11.4% 10.1% 12.3% 10.2% 5.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Charlie Eckert 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 3.7% 3.6% 6.1% 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 11.3% 12.2% 12.0% 11.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
Isabella du Plessis 9.2% 8.9% 11.7% 13.6% 14.6% 10.9% 11.0% 7.5% 5.2% 4.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andreas Keswater 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 10.3% 12.2% 13.5% 11.2% 10.4% 7.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Parks 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.4% 9.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.5% 12.1% 9.0% 6.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Noah Jost 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.3% 6.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.6% 12.0% 11.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Natalie Aramendia 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 3.1% 6.4% 5.9% 9.2% 12.4% 13.6% 14.9% 11.8% 7.6% 2.5%
Rowan Barnes 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 9.2% 10.7% 12.8% 10.8% 11.3% 7.8% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3%
Andrew Tollefson 2.5% 4.3% 4.3% 4.5% 8.3% 8.4% 10.3% 9.6% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 7.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Timothy Dolan 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 3.1% 2.9% 4.3% 6.2% 9.5% 11.6% 16.0% 21.0% 20.1%
Robert Gates 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 2.6% 1.6% 2.3% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 14.6% 20.9% 35.9%
Alvin Tang 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 5.9% 5.4% 11.3% 18.6% 21.3% 23.2%
Sam Woodley 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 5.2% 9.4% 12.4% 18.2% 21.0% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.