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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.21vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.18+5.25vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46+0.08vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.26+2.16vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.08+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.27-2.50vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.60-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-1.08vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.34-3.07vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.75vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.08+0.41vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.67-3.51vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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9.25University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.08North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.16Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.97Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.11Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.92University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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7.93The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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12.75Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.41University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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10.49Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.61Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.9% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.2% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.9% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 19.8% | 26.0% | 24.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 24.7% | 42.4% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.