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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+2.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.08vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.46vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+0.53vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.00+1.73vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.34-0.17vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.08-0.03vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.67+0.56vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.26-2.90vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.08-0.67vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.71-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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3.08College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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7.24Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.73University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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7.83The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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8.97Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.56Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.1Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.33University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.63Florida Institute of Technology-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 22.2% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 25.2% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 19.2% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 27.3% | 24.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Gates | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 41.5% |
| Alvin Tang | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 24.6% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.