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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.59+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+3.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.66+0.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-0.15vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.78-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.95-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.15Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.04Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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7.19University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.88University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 30.5% | 22.9% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 21.8% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 12.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 12.5% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 11.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 36.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.