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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.14+2.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+1.91vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.17-1.16vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.15+2.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.51-1.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-1.54vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.41+2.99vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.43+0.33vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.17+0.59vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.95-2.79vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.82-0.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-5.67vs Predicted
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15American University-1.78-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Virginia3.140.2%1st Place
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4.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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3.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.3%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.84Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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8.64Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.2Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.99Christopher Newport University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.33Hampton University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.59Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.21William and Mary0.950.0%1st Place
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12.88William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.33George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.98American University-1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Stokes | 19.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 25.1% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 16.1% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kira Munger | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 8.7% |
| Ian Guagliardo | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Troy Zangle | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 8.5% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Girolama Bui | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 32.9% | 20.5% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pilipowskyj | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.