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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.27vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+3.32vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+1.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.37+2.76vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13+6.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37+3.20vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.42+0.96vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.54-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+0.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.32vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.31-5.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-5.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Brown University1.9912.3%1st Place
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5.32Boston College2.4011.7%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.1713.9%1st Place
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6.76Yale University1.377.0%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.109.8%1st Place
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10.2Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College1.8410.2%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island0.423.4%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University0.543.6%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.8%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University1.317.2%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Escobar | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 34.4% |
| Sarah Young | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 22.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Emma Wang | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.