← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.59+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+3.35vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.20+2.92vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.78-0.10vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.66-0.86vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.88vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.04vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.38-4.98vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
-
5.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
-
5.92Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
3.9Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.14Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
-
6.88University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
-
5.96University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
3.02University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
-
7.17University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 29.7% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% |
| Sam Ingalls | 24.0% | 21.7% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.