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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.59+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.66+1.26vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.84vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.78-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.26Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.87University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.04Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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6.91University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.17University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 30.1% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 22.4% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 29.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.