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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.59+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.11vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.78+1.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.66-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.03vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.20-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.03Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.16Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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5.97University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.89Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.91University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.16University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 29.9% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 21.8% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Liam Gronda | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 12.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 11.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 29.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.