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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+1.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.59+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+3.07vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.78-0.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.03vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.66-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.95-0.82vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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2.78Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
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6.07University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.92Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.2Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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6.95University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.18University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.86Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 24.9% | 22.7% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 26.8% | 24.5% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 12.7% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 12.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 29.3% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 37.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.