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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.59+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+1.10vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.66+1.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.08vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.78-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.95-0.81vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Connecticut College1.590.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island1.380.2%1st Place
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4.26Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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3.94Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.91University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.19University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 29.5% | 24.0% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 22.9% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 13.4% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 24.3% | 28.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 38.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.