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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+3.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+1.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+1.95vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+1.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+1.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+1.25vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.37-1.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.23vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.42-1.70vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Brown University1.9912.7%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.4010.8%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University2.1715.6%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College1.8410.5%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.109.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University1.316.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.7%1st Place
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6.63Yale University1.379.3%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.0%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University0.543.5%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island0.422.7%1st Place
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10.19Boston University0.372.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Emma Wang | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Ximena Escobar | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.