← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia3.14+2.78vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20+2.90vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.17-0.28vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.79vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.15+2.59vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University-0.41+4.91vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.51-2.81vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.24-0.64vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary0.95-0.90vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.01-4.50vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.43-1.56vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute-0.17-1.28vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary-0.82-1.25vs Predicted
-
15American University-1.78-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78University of Virginia3.140.2%1st Place
-
4.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
-
5.9Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
3.72Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
-
3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
-
8.59Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.91Christopher Newport University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.19Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.36George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.1William and Mary0.950.0%1st Place
-
6.5Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.44Hampton University0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.72Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
-
12.75William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.97American University-1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Stokes | 17.2% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 18.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 24.5% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kira Munger | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 21.5% | 10.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Diana Kong-Wasielewski | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Guagliardo | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Troy Zangle | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 7.3% |
| Girolama Bui | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 27.2% | 21.1% |
| Nicholas Pilipowskyj | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 18.9% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.