Race 1A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 6.0% 8.0% 9.7% 11.9% 9.0% 11.6% 12.9% 11.6% 9.3% 7.0% 3.0%
Lucy Paskoff 4.7% 4.3% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 12.9% 14.6% 14.6%
Laura Hamilton 27.2% 23.6% 17.3% 12.1% 9.2% 4.9% 3.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Ashley Delisser 3.9% 5.0% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 10.5% 13.7% 13.4% 12.8% 12.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 11.0% 11.2% 10.7% 11.2% 12.9% 10.3% 10.1% 7.6% 7.1% 5.8% 2.1%
Grace Watlington 4.3% 6.3% 5.8% 5.6% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 11.9% 12.0% 14.7% 12.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 6.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.6% 9.4% 10.4% 10.4% 11.1% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 4.5% 4.3% 6.6% 6.5% 8.4% 11.2% 16.0% 35.6%
Marina Garrido 6.6% 8.1% 9.2% 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 10.3% 10.1% 11.2% 7.6% 5.0%
Avery Canavan 9.2% 7.4% 9.9% 9.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 9.3% 8.7% 8.9% 4.6%
Eva Ermlich 17.3% 18.5% 14.8% 13.5% 11.3% 9.1% 6.3% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.