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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.32+4.83vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+3.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63-0.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+1.29vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03-0.97vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.92-2.16vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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5.86George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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2.94Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.29Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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6.84Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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6.97Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalea Woodard | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 26.9% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 16.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.