Race 3A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 14.5% 15.7% 15.1% 13.5% 14.3% 8.4% 9.6% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 10.0% 11.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.3% 6.5% 6.0% 1.2%
Laura Hamilton 28.0% 23.3% 17.0% 11.5% 8.7% 6.1% 2.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 6.7% 7.9% 7.8% 9.4% 9.6% 13.0% 10.6% 10.1% 11.7% 7.6% 5.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.7% 6.4% 6.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 10.6% 10.6% 12.0% 12.9% 11.1%
Avery Canavan 7.6% 9.2% 7.7% 11.1% 8.9% 11.6% 11.1% 10.4% 8.5% 9.0% 4.9%
Grace Watlington 5.8% 4.8% 8.0% 6.7% 7.1% 8.8% 11.1% 11.3% 11.5% 13.5% 11.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 6.8% 5.9% 9.5% 9.8% 14.9% 37.2%
Lucy Paskoff 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 8.8% 12.5% 13.3% 14.9% 14.9%
Ashley Delisser 5.7% 5.7% 6.6% 8.5% 7.1% 10.1% 8.7% 10.6% 12.9% 13.8% 10.3%
Kalea Woodard 8.8% 9.1% 11.4% 9.6% 11.6% 9.9% 11.2% 8.8% 10.6% 6.0% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.