Race 4A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 14.9% 16.0% 15.1% 14.8% 11.4% 11.2% 6.7% 6.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6%
Lucy Paskoff 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 10.3% 11.3% 12.4% 15.5% 13.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 9.9% 8.3% 12.0% 11.8% 12.3% 10.2% 11.6% 9.1% 6.7% 5.8% 2.3%
Marina Garrido 6.4% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 10.1% 13.3% 10.3% 10.5% 11.4% 7.4% 5.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.8% 7.1% 6.2% 8.0% 7.9% 10.4% 8.8% 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2%
Laura Hamilton 30.2% 22.8% 15.8% 12.1% 7.5% 4.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.0% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 5.1% 5.4% 6.3% 7.9% 11.1% 16.2% 34.9%
Avery Canavan 7.4% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.5% 5.0%
Ashley Delisser 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 5.8% 8.7% 7.6% 11.0% 10.9% 13.2% 14.0% 11.8%
Kalea Woodard 8.3% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 10.9% 10.0% 10.4% 13.0% 8.5% 6.1% 3.5%
Grace Watlington 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 8.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.3% 9.9% 13.0% 13.2% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.