Race 5A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Hamilton 28.5% 22.2% 18.3% 12.6% 8.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 16.4% 38.1%
Avery Canavan 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 10.8% 10.1% 10.9% 11.6% 9.4% 10.0% 5.2%
Eva Ermlich 14.7% 15.0% 15.1% 14.0% 12.3% 10.1% 8.7% 4.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 11.1% 12.2% 10.8% 11.7% 8.8% 11.0% 11.4% 9.0% 7.1% 4.7% 2.2%
Lucy Paskoff 3.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.3% 7.4% 7.9% 10.1% 10.8% 13.0% 14.9% 14.7%
Marina Garrido 8.5% 9.1% 8.7% 9.6% 11.8% 10.6% 11.4% 10.6% 9.7% 6.1% 3.9%
Kalea Woodard 8.3% 9.4% 9.2% 12.8% 9.4% 11.4% 10.5% 8.6% 9.5% 7.7% 3.2%
Grace Watlington 4.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 11.0% 9.1% 10.1% 13.6% 15.1% 12.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 6.2% 6.0% 8.0% 7.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 12.5% 11.3% 12.1% 8.9%
Ashley Delisser 5.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 10.1% 8.3% 9.2% 13.1% 11.8% 11.8% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.