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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+5.02vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+2.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.32+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.08+3.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-3.10vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.85-2.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-2.89vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.01Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.93University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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2.9Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.95Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.51Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 38.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 29.6% | 23.5% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.