← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eva Ermlich 14.2% 16.2% 15.4% 14.8% 11.2% 12.4% 6.8% 4.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5%
Laura Hamilton 32.0% 21.6% 17.1% 10.1% 8.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 9.6% 10.2% 11.2% 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 8.6% 4.3%
Grace Watlington 3.6% 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.6% 11.9% 12.2% 13.2% 14.0% 14.2%
Kalea Woodard 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7% 9.1% 7.6% 4.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 5.0% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 9.1% 10.1% 17.0% 37.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 10.5% 11.3% 13.5% 12.2% 11.5% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 5.4% 4.1% 2.6%
Lucy Paskoff 5.5% 4.4% 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.2% 12.6% 14.3% 13.1%
Avery Canavan 6.7% 8.3% 9.0% 9.1% 11.3% 10.9% 11.3% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 4.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.8% 7.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 8.7% 10.1% 11.9% 11.7% 12.8% 8.9%
Ashley Delisser 4.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 10.9% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.