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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+3.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+0.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+3.05vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08+2.68vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-2.02vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-3.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-3.38vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.85-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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2.81Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.27Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.97George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.62Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 32.0% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 37.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.