Race 8A

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Hamilton 27.5% 23.2% 16.7% 13.5% 10.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Eva Ermlich 16.6% 15.8% 15.2% 13.8% 11.2% 9.2% 7.3% 5.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Kalea Woodard 7.3% 7.9% 9.2% 8.6% 11.8% 11.7% 10.6% 12.2% 9.2% 7.5% 4.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 4.5% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 11.2% 18.4% 39.2%
Avery Canavan 8.0% 8.1% 9.1% 8.9% 10.9% 9.6% 11.9% 10.7% 9.1% 8.4% 5.3%
Marina Garrido 7.3% 9.1% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 10.7% 11.0% 7.1% 4.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 11.4% 11.1% 12.9% 12.0% 11.2% 11.6% 10.3% 7.2% 5.4% 4.8% 2.1%
Grace Watlington 5.1% 4.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 10.7% 10.6% 12.2% 13.8% 11.2%
Lucy Paskoff 4.3% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 9.6% 9.0% 12.2% 12.8% 15.2% 14.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 11.3% 10.7% 13.2% 11.4% 9.2%
Ashley Delisser 5.1% 5.7% 7.4% 8.7% 7.7% 9.1% 10.6% 12.6% 11.2% 12.1% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.