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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+4.27vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+1.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+1.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.42+2.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-3.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+0.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-1.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.69vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.37-6.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-2.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Brown University1.9912.9%1st Place
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4.82Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.109.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University1.315.3%1st Place
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5.1Boston College2.4013.3%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.422.9%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College1.849.6%1st Place
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10.24Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University0.543.4%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.3%1st Place
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6.67Yale University1.378.2%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Emma Wang | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Ximena Escobar | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.