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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eva Ermlich 17.7% 18.0% 16.8% 12.6% 12.0% 8.4% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 1.1%
Grace Watlington 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.1% 12.2% 14.5% 15.4% 14.2%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.7% 2.3% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 4.1% 8.1% 9.2% 19.1% 41.5%
Marina Garrido 7.6% 7.8% 9.8% 12.1% 12.6% 13.3% 11.7% 10.8% 8.8% 5.5%
Avery Canavan 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 10.2% 9.7% 14.1% 13.4% 10.7% 9.5% 4.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 9.7% 11.2% 12.1% 13.5% 14.1% 11.1%
Laura Hamilton 30.1% 23.2% 17.7% 12.9% 8.9% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucy Paskoff 4.1% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 10.4% 10.3% 14.3% 16.7% 15.4%
Kalea Woodard 8.1% 9.3% 9.8% 12.7% 11.8% 11.7% 12.4% 11.6% 8.2% 4.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 9.5% 10.8% 14.5% 12.0% 11.8% 13.3% 10.7% 9.7% 5.8% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.