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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+2.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.08+5.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+0.43vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.92+0.20vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-4.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.32-3.67vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.53Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.43George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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2.75Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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6.62Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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4.85Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 41.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 30.1% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.