← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.26+4.42vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+0.75vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.32+2.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.08+4.00vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.27+0.44vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.92+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.57-2.21vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.79-1.50vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.03-5.25vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
2.75Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
-
5.43University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
-
8.0University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.44Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
6.18Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.79Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
6.5Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
3.75Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
-
6.75Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 30.1% | 23.0% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 39.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 17.4% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.