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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+1.74vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+3.53vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+1.86vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03-0.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+1.62vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79+0.47vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.92-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.32-2.72vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08-1.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.53George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.86Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University2.030.2%1st Place
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6.62Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.47Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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5.28University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 32.6% | 22.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 16.0% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 39.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.