Race 1B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Julia Shannon-Grillo 9.3% 12.3% 12.5% 11.2% 12.9% 12.2% 10.3% 9.3% 5.6% 3.4% 1.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 18.4% 16.5% 15.9% 11.9% 10.9% 8.5% 7.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.0% 11.8% 11.5% 13.5% 11.2% 10.5% 9.8% 7.3% 7.5% 3.2% 0.7%
Laura Smith 5.4% 5.3% 5.5% 7.7% 6.3% 7.7% 10.8% 13.4% 14.3% 16.1% 7.5%
Lizzie Cochran 11.5% 8.7% 12.0% 11.5% 10.4% 10.2% 11.2% 8.3% 7.5% 7.3% 1.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.4% 8.3% 6.6% 6.3% 8.4% 10.3% 9.9% 10.5% 14.1% 13.1% 7.1%
Sidney Moyer 15.7% 15.4% 13.2% 12.9% 11.3% 10.0% 7.1% 6.9% 3.3% 3.1% 1.1%
Arantxa Argibay 5.1% 4.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 14.5% 18.0% 10.3%
Lilly Saffer 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.2% 11.5% 14.1% 14.9% 8.3%
Audrey Commerford 9.7% 9.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.3% 10.5% 10.7% 11.8% 9.3% 7.4% 3.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 2.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.9% 12.6% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.