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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.72vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.37+4.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.13+2.04vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.36+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52-2.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28-2.68vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.14-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76-4.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University-1.11-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.76Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.38Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.71Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.32Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smith | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 7.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 16.1% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 12.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.