Race 3B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 11.1% 14.0% 12.5% 12.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.9% 8.8% 4.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Laura Smith 5.9% 5.3% 5.9% 7.8% 9.4% 7.1% 9.8% 13.3% 14.5% 14.5% 6.5%
Audrey Commerford 8.5% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 9.0% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 12.1% 8.4% 3.4%
Lucia Loosbrock 15.8% 16.6% 14.5% 13.2% 12.1% 10.1% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Lilly Saffer 6.0% 7.0% 5.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.7% 9.4% 11.2% 12.2% 17.4% 6.8%
Sidney Moyer 15.4% 13.4% 13.7% 12.5% 11.4% 9.1% 7.4% 6.4% 6.4% 3.7% 0.6%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 14.4% 11.5% 13.9% 11.0% 10.7% 10.0% 10.3% 7.6% 6.3% 3.0% 1.3%
Arantxa Argibay 4.9% 5.0% 4.6% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.7% 18.4% 12.1%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 8.8% 8.9% 11.6% 10.5% 12.7% 14.5% 7.4%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 3.0% 2.3% 3.6% 5.2% 8.7% 11.9% 59.3%
Lizzie Cochran 11.2% 11.7% 12.6% 10.8% 9.8% 12.6% 9.2% 8.7% 7.8% 4.3% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.