Race 4B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sidney Moyer 11.4% 14.9% 12.9% 13.2% 12.0% 10.6% 10.4% 7.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.4% 13.6% 12.9% 11.2% 12.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 5.2% 3.1% 0.6%
Laura Smith 5.8% 5.1% 6.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 12.3% 14.2% 15.4% 9.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.8% 15.0% 14.9% 13.6% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 14.0% 12.0% 10.7% 11.5% 10.2% 11.1% 9.7% 8.0% 6.3% 5.3% 1.2%
Audrey Commerford 8.0% 10.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.7% 10.4% 2.4%
Lilly Saffer 6.6% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 8.7% 11.5% 11.7% 11.3% 13.1% 8.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.7% 5.6% 8.8% 13.7% 57.5%
Arantxa Argibay 5.0% 4.5% 4.4% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 8.4% 10.4% 15.3% 19.0% 12.2%
Lizzie Cochran 11.5% 11.4% 12.4% 9.8% 9.9% 11.3% 10.1% 8.3% 8.7% 5.2% 1.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.8% 6.5% 8.6% 9.5% 7.5% 9.3% 9.8% 12.1% 12.8% 11.4% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.