Race 5B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Smith 4.6% 5.9% 5.5% 7.8% 7.0% 9.7% 10.1% 12.9% 14.8% 14.4% 7.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.8% 12.7% 13.7% 12.2% 11.9% 9.5% 9.5% 7.1% 6.2% 2.4% 1.0%
Sidney Moyer 13.5% 12.7% 11.9% 13.5% 11.1% 10.3% 9.3% 9.1% 5.0% 3.3% 0.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.9% 15.4% 13.2% 15.2% 10.5% 9.4% 8.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Lizzie Cochran 11.5% 11.1% 9.5% 11.4% 10.4% 10.0% 10.9% 9.3% 7.9% 6.3% 1.7%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.3% 6.9% 8.2% 6.7% 8.3% 9.4% 10.5% 11.2% 13.0% 13.8% 6.7%
Audrey Commerford 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 11.5% 11.1% 9.2% 11.3% 8.4% 7.9% 3.0%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 12.9% 12.9% 14.2% 10.7% 11.4% 9.7% 9.3% 7.0% 7.0% 4.4% 0.5%
Lilly Saffer 5.6% 5.4% 7.0% 6.9% 6.9% 9.9% 9.1% 11.6% 14.3% 14.3% 9.0%
Arantxa Argibay 5.0% 6.1% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.6% 9.4% 14.2% 18.7% 10.3%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.6% 6.0% 6.0% 12.9% 59.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.