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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.13+2.79vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+1.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+0.63vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.37+1.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76-2.33vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36-2.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University-1.11-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.14-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.63Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.76Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.29Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 16.0% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 6.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 59.3% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.