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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+4.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.13+2.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+1.86vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+2.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.11+3.65vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76-2.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.37-3.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.28-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.12Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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7.26University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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6.9Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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6.62Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.32Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 16.9% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 59.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 7.9% |
| Laura Smith | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.