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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lizzie Cochran 8.5% 11.0% 10.0% 11.9% 10.6% 11.1% 10.9% 12.7% 7.0% 4.6% 1.7%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 12.9% 11.9% 12.8% 10.8% 11.7% 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 7.4% 4.1% 0.5%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 12.3% 12.2% 11.1% 13.2% 11.5% 10.0% 10.0% 8.6% 5.6% 4.5% 1.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.9% 14.6% 15.1% 12.7% 12.7% 9.2% 7.9% 5.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Arantxa Argibay 4.9% 5.3% 4.2% 7.1% 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 10.2% 12.9% 19.4% 11.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 4.0% 3.7% 3.9% 8.2% 12.8% 59.7%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0% 12.8% 12.7% 11.0% 6.6%
Audrey Commerford 8.9% 9.1% 9.6% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 10.2% 9.7% 10.4% 8.1% 3.2%
Lilly Saffer 5.2% 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 9.8% 8.9% 11.8% 14.0% 16.2% 7.9%
Laura Smith 6.4% 5.9% 8.0% 7.9% 7.5% 8.1% 10.8% 10.6% 13.2% 14.7% 6.9%
Sidney Moyer 15.3% 15.8% 14.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 8.5% 6.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.