← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.99+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+6.11vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.42vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.40+1.23vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.10+1.12vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.84+0.12vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.37-0.26vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.31-0.58vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.42vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.54-0.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.24+0.31vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.17-7.11vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College-0.13-1.07vs Predicted
-
14Boston University0.37-3.71vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.42-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13Brown University1.9912.6%1st Place
-
8.11Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
-
8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.4%1st Place
-
5.23Boston College2.4013.2%1st Place
-
6.12Dartmouth College2.1010.3%1st Place
-
6.12Bowdoin College1.8410.0%1st Place
-
6.74Yale University1.378.2%1st Place
-
7.42Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
-
8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.7%1st Place
-
9.49Tufts University0.543.7%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
-
4.89Harvard University2.1714.4%1st Place
-
11.93Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
-
10.29Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
-
10.22University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ximena Escobar | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 22.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 32.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.