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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.71vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.37+4.75vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.36+3.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.13-0.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28-1.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.14-2.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University-1.11-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.75Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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6.97Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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4.54Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Laura Smith | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 20.7% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 4.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 9.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.