← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Smith 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 12.6% 15.3% 23.4%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.6% 14.1% 13.9% 12.7% 11.7% 10.2% 9.2% 5.2% 4.7% 1.7%
Lilly Saffer 4.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.5% 5.9% 8.0% 9.5% 13.6% 15.4% 25.1%
Lizzie Cochran 8.9% 9.2% 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 11.4% 11.4% 9.1% 6.4%
Tiare Sierra 15.5% 14.4% 13.0% 12.0% 14.1% 10.1% 7.3% 5.6% 5.4% 2.6%
Audrey Commerford 8.8% 7.4% 8.2% 7.7% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 12.2% 13.8% 10.7%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 10.7% 11.9% 12.8% 12.9% 10.9% 10.0% 11.7% 8.3% 7.1% 3.7%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 10.6% 14.4% 9.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.5% 11.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.1%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 11.0% 10.3% 12.7% 15.6% 18.4%
Sidney Moyer 12.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.8% 9.8% 11.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.