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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.37+5.83vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+2.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.36+4.02vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.76-0.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-2.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.13-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-2.35vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.28-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.22Northeastern University1.520.2%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.33Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.88George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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4.71Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 23.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 16.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 25.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.6% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.